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Electricity and heat load forecasting system EPS21-EPS21
Electricity and heat load forecasting system EPS21-E.I.Engineering Co.,Ltd

Electricity and heat load forecasting system EPS21
E.I.Engineering Co.,Ltd


About This Product

A groundbreaking forecasting engine that accurately predicts the load of electricity and thermal energy (cooling, heating, steam, hot water) using past performance data.

■Day-ahead load forecast

The 24-hour load forecast for the next day is predicted with high accuracy using the Kalman filter method.

■In-day load forecast. High-precision power load forecast using cluster analysis method

・Load forecast for the day can be made without weather information. ・Load forecast for the entire day (up to 24 hours) is updated every time actual measurement data is obtained, making a highly accurate load forecast for the entire day. ・Short-term load forecast for the day can be made at any time (30 to 120 minutes). ・The data required for the forecast is any accumulated data (1 to 60 minutes), and no other data is required. ・Conventional mathematical methods have a time phase lag and it is not realistic to express all factors that affect the energy load with explanatory variables. ・This system focuses on human activity status and patterns, and uses cluster analysis techniques to keep the accuracy of power load prediction to EEP3% or less and heat load prediction to EEP5% or less.

■Day-ahead prediction

・Model formulas can be switched by day of the week, event date, etc. ・Model formulas can also be switched by season. ・Variables that are correlated with load characteristics (number of visitors, production plans, etc.) can be incorporated as optional explanatory variables in the Kalman filter.

■Powerful support for new businesses in the full liberalization of electricity retail

PPS business support, simultaneous equalization control, demand response control, energy equipment operation support, application to CEMS, power generation business support ・Accurate short-term load prediction is required to start equipment after it is started and to start idling equipment. ・If changes to equipment operation, etc. are required, they can be made at an early stage.

■Further features of same-day prediction

・Load prediction results for individual buildings and facilities can be aggregated to create a load prediction. Since it reflects the characteristics of individual loads, the accuracy of EEP is high. ・The energy load of the target building or facility can be aggregated, and this data can be used to predict the load for the target building on that day. Today's forecast

■Today's forecast: 30-minute forecast

Based on the actual load measured on that day, an appropriate load from the past is extracted and a forecast for the next 30 minutes (variable) on that day is made.

■Today's forecast: 60-minute forecast

Based on the actual load measured on that day, an appropriate load from the past is extracted and a forecast for the next 60 minutes (variable) on that day is made.

  • Product

    Electricity and heat load forecasting system EPS21

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